The key to expert
strategy is learning how to use a strategy table. A strategy table
lists the playable hands and the expected values for each hand. It
is not important to learn the specific values but rather the order
of the hands. This article is Part 1 of a 3 Part series that will
walk you through the strategy table for full-pay jacks or better video
poker.
This week, I'm
going to review the first 14 items on the strategy table, which are
all net winners for the Player. That means that the EV is greater
than 1.0, or that in the long run, we can expect to win back more
than we put in to the machine. Since we're starting at the top, many
of the hands will be pat hands in which no draw is necessary and/or
hands that have very obvious solutions as to how to play. For those
of you who are newer to the game, you may still find a few surprises
in store, even at the top of the table.
The top eight
entries in our table should be no surprise at all. The majority of
these hands can be found on the paytable, and only 1 is not a sure
winner. They are as follows:
Hand
|
Expected
Value
|
Royal
Flush
|
800.00
|
Straight
Flush
|
50.00
|
Four
of a Kind
|
25.00
|
4-Card
Royal
|
18.66
|
Full
House
|
9.00
|
Flush
|
6.00
|
Three
of a Kind
|
4.30
|
Straight
|
4.00
|
The only hand
out of these eight that is not a sure winner is the 4-Card Royal.
Nonetheless, the ability for the 4-Card Royal to turn into a Straight,
a Flush, a Straight Flush or, of course, the elusive Royal makes this
hand a potentially very profitable one. One thing that can be learned
from this portion of the strategy table is that we DO discard Straights
or Flushes when we have a 4-Card Royal, but we do NOT discard a Straight
Flush to go for the Royal Flush.
The other interesting
point to note within these first eight entries is that the Three of
a Kind outranks the Straight even though Trips pay less than the Straight.
The ability for the Trips to turn into Full Houses and Quads, increases
its value beyond the paytable value of the Trips and even beyond the
paytable value of the Straight. With the exception of the 4-Card Royal,
none of the other hands on this part of our table overlap. Thus, deciding
what is the proper play should be relatively easy.
The next six
entries consist more of partial hands and sure winners that do not
use all five cards, which is what makes video poker so interesting.
The next entries are as follows:
Hand
|
Expected
Value
|
4-Card
Straight Flush
|
3.55
|
Two
Pair
|
2.60
|
4-Card
Inside Straight Flush
|
2.39
|
High
Pair
|
1.54
|
3-Card
Royal
|
1.41
|
4-Card
Flush
|
1.22
|
There is much
to learn from this part of the strategy table. Whereas, we discard
a Straight or a Flush in favor of a 4-Card Royal, the same cannot
be said if we are only going for a Straight Flush. The difference
in payback between the two (800 vs. 50) is more than enough to convince
us to keep the Straight or the Flush if dealt to us. Also, we begin
to introduce the idea that there is a vast difference in EV between
straights that are 'outside' or 'open ended' and those that are 'inside'.
An inside Straight (or Straight Flush) has a gap on the inside and
can only be completed with that specific card. An outside Straight
has no gaps and thus can be completed TWO ways (one at either end).
This makes the outside Straight much more valuable. It should also
be noted that an A-2-3-4 or a J-Q-K-A Straight is to be considered
an Inside Straight because it can only be completed one way. In the
case of 4-Card Straight Flushes, whether it is inside or open ended
does not change our strategy.
The next hand
is a High Pair, which is also the most frequently dealt winning hand
(pre-draw), accounting for roughly half of the guaranteed winning
hands (pre-draw). From our strategy table, we learn that we will discard
the High Pair in favor of any 4-Card Straight Flush (including, of
course, a 4-Card Royal). We will NOT discard a High Pair for a 4-Card
Flush (or a 4-Card Straight which hasn't yet been shown) or even a
3-Card Royal Flush.
The next hand
is the often forgotten 3-Card Royal. In most versions of Video Poker,
we don't play 3-card Straights or 3-Card Flushes. 3-Card Straight
Flushes, however, are probably the most misplayed hand in all of Video
Poker. 3-Card Royals with the extra benefit of having a chance of
turning into a Royal Flush are more valuable than many other hands,
and are in fact, winners in the long run. As the table shows, we will
discard a 4-Card Flush in favor of a 3-Card Royal.
The last hand
is the 4-Card Flush, which is the lowest ranking hand that is still
a long-term winner. These hands occur 3-4% of the time, and catching
the Flush is an important part of a winning session. As we have not
listed the Low Pair on the table yet, we learn that we discard Low
Pairs in favor of the 4-Card Flush.
Next week, we'll
review the next portion of the table, which are the long-term losing
hands.