Issue 3
September 1 - September 15, 2000
Volume 1
page 3
   

Like to Specialize in Sports Betting?
Try Focusing in College Football

By Howard Schwartz

The football bettor who specializes can often find a weakness in the line each week-if he or she focuses on particular teams or a conference. For example, those who set the line in past years had great problems with the Ivy League teams. Too many unknown factors affected the bookmaker's ability to put up accurate numbers-and bettors feasted on mistakes.

It's a rare sportsbook in Nevada that even offers Ivy League team wagering today. What were the factors that brought this about? Perhaps Harvard linemen or defensive backs decided serious practice was secondary in importance to final exams. Maybe the fields became quagmires at Columbia or Princeton for lack of extra funding to seed it properly before the season began. Whatever it was-it became a nightmare for bet-takers-and alas, we don't even see the conference listed even in the Blue Ribbon College Football Yearbook in 2000!

But there are other conferences where information might not be such tough pickin's-like Conference USA or the Mid-American Conference, also known as the MAC. Who's to know about Louisville or Memphis of the Conference USA or Eastern or Central Michigan of the MAC? It's tough enough for any under-pressure bookmaker or sportsbook to differentiate between Boston College and Boston U. sometimes-and indeed many years ago, the wrong lines went up on these teams everywhere, including parlay cards. It could have been disastrous if not caught at the last moment by proofreaders or fact-checkers.

The trick to taking advantage of such slip-ups is to read everything you can about these smaller teams, these less-famous conferences and to become expert on key players, stadium patterns, whether a coach is offensive or defensive-minded, major rivalries and revenge situation or potential Heisman Trophy showcase matchups.

So what is there to read? Sharp, incisive football magazines, newspapers, which concentrate on teams from that area, even Internet sites that offer roundups. When it comes to books-here are a few worth having:

Phil Steele's College Football Scorebook (310 pages, 8x11plastic spiralbound, $24.95) has an excellent section ofsmaller, sometimes bettable teams like Idaho State, Montana, Montana State and Weber State (all from the Big

Sky Conference), with three years of results and lines (when there was one), along with an evaluation of players, positions and stats. Similar material is there for teams like Ohio U. and Toledo of the MAC, although in their instances and others, there may be a summary of pointspread activity instead of a spread history. (For example, Ohio U. if 10-4 as a home favorite against the spread since 1993).

The previously-mentioned Blue Ribbon College Football Yearbook (384 pages, paperbound, $19.95) is a masterpiece of evaluations of strengths and weaknesses of most important major teams, but does have a nice section on Independents (like Central Florida, Louisiana Tech and Navy). There are no pointspreads here-but you might find some "sleepers" in the descriptions of teams and players.

In Trends Made Easy (College) (124 pages, paperbound, $27.95), the emphasis is on major schools, with more than 800 betting angles hitting at 69 percent or better (some angles going back as far as 1977). But you'll find a few gems here like Hawaii, Louisville, UTEP and Tulsa, which could win you a few extra units. (Play against Tulsa the game after they play Oklahoma State. They are 2-11 vs. the spread in that situation since 1985. That fierce rivalry takes place Sept. 9 by the way.)

One overall must-read book is Trace Fields' College Football Handicapping: A Professional Approach (208 pages, 8x11 plastic spiralbound, $39.99), which takes you through the entire thought process in betting college games. This includes comparing offensive and defensive statistics; emotional handicapping (such as homecoming underdog matchups and sandwich games); injuries and how to evaluate them; playing favorites and searching for live dogs.

Any of the books I've mentioned are available from Gambler's Book Shop (630 South 11th Street, Las Vegas, NV 89101) by toll-free number: 1-800-522-1777 from 9 to 5 Pacific Time. The store's web site at www.gamblersbook.com contains a complete list of football betting books and books in 30 other areas of gambling.


Hit the Jackpot
Silver Legacy Resort Casino, Reno, NV
October 8-9
$43,000 in cash prizes!
Registration: $359
Call 800-MUST-SEE

Weekly Mini Blackjack Tournaments
Casino de Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Thru December 13
$5,000 in prizes per tournament
Registration: $25 per tournament
Call 1-800-665-2274

Spooky Spin Slot Tournament
Argosy Casino & Hotel, Lawrenceburg, IN
October 23-27
$11,000 in prizes!
Registration: $10
Call 888-ARGOSY-7

 

 


Octoberfest Slot Tourney
Peppermill Casino Resort, Reno, NV
October 8-9
$30,000 in cash & prizes!
Registration: $199
Call 1-800-648-6992 ext.7321

$2,000 Blackjack Challenge
President Casino Resort, Biloxi, MS
Every Wednesday at 4:00 pm
$1,000 First Prize!
Registration: $10
Call 800-THE-PRES

World Poker Finals
Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, CT
October 29-November 19
$70,000 in added prize money!
Call 800-48-POKER for information

Tell us what you think about our newsletter.
Copyright � 2000 Casino City. All rights reserved
Casino City is a trademark of CasinoPromote.com. Please read our Disclaimer of Warranty